Asteroid 2024 YR4's impact risk has dropped to 0.0017%, placing it a level 0 on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale. There remains a 1.7% chance of the asteroid impacting the moon on December 22, 2032.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 is making headlines again after new calculations revealed that the asteroid now has an impact probability to Earth of just 0.16% in 2032.
The impact risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 in 2032 increased from 1.8% to 2.6% (1 in 38) with new trajectory simulations and refined calculations. While the increase remains within a low-risk range, continued monitoring and additional observations will be necessary to further refine impact predictions.
The impact risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 in 2032 increased from 1.2% to 1.8% on February 6, 2025, following new trajectory simulations and refined calculations. While the increase remains within a low-risk range, continued monitoring and additional observations will be necessary to further refine impact predictions.
A newly discovered asteroid designated 2024 YR4 has activated global planetary defense protocols after initial observations indicated a small but notable chance of impact in seven years. International monitoring networks have begun refining its trajectory, while space agencies evaluate potential response strategies, including possible deflection measures.
A newly discovered near-Earth asteroid designated 2024 YR4 has been identified with a more than 1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032. Astronomers are actively refining its orbit and the potential risk remains under evaluation.
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